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August 21, 2025Environmental Research LettersOpen Access

River flow amplification under climate change: attribution and climate-driven storylines of the winter 2023/24 UK floods

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Authors

WCWilson ChanLBLucy BarkerDFDavide Faranda

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Overview

Post-event analysis reveals climate change may increase river flood risks in the UK, highlighting the need for adaptation.

Key Points

  • Severe winter flooding in the UK appears linked to climate change, with potential increases in river flows by 46%.
  • Analysis shows river flows in similar past periods have risen by 13.5% due to warmer and wetter conditions.
  • A framework for assessing hydrological extremes was used in the recent winter flooding case study, combining attribution and storylines.
  • Findings indicate a clear climate signal in winter river flows, though some effects may take decades to manifest fully.

Cite This Study

Chan et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af50acad7bf08b1ead9116https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adfdfe
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