Analysis reveals urban land expansion trends in the Yangtze River Delta, indicating significant land use shifts.
An in-depth analysis of land use dynamics during the evolution of regional urban systems is crucial for understanding developmental trajectories and promoting coordinated urban growth. This study adopts a land-use perspective, examining the expansion of urban construction land while identifying its source areas. By integrating Zipf’s law and using urban construction land area as an indicator of urban scale, this research analyzes transformations within the urban system. The findings reveal the following: (1) The total area of urban construction land in the Yangtze River Delta has continued to expand over time, exhibiting an inverted U-shaped curve, with high concentration observed in riverine and coastal zones. (2) Cultivated land serves as the primary source for construction land, contributing on average 77.70% over the past 25 years, amounting to a conversion of 5664.51 square kilometers. Rural residential areas rank second, contributing an average of 11.90%. (3) The rank-size distribution of cities based on urban land area largely aligns with Zipf’s law, albeit with deviations at both ends. The Pareto index increased from 0.803 to 0.897, indicating a trend toward weaker dispersion and greater concentration in urban size distribution. In conclusion, future urban development should emphasize rational expansion grounded in sustainable practices, strengthen farmland protection to ensure food security, and effectively manage rural land transformation to promote efficient land use and ecological balance. These measures will support the balanced and coordinated development of large, medium, and small cities within the urban system.
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Shi et al. (2025) studied this question.
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