Quantitative analysis reveals fiscal performance differences between Surabaya and Bangkalan, indicating governance impacts.
This study evaluates fiscal management effectiveness and efficiency across region in East Java, Indonesia, particularly for Kota Surabaya and Kabupaten Bangkalan. Employing a quantitative approach, the research analyzed data from 2015 to 2024, including regional revenue (PAD), effectiveness ratios, efficiency ratios, and advanced forecasting techniques using Double Exponential Smoothing with Damped Trend models. Results revealed considerable variations among regions. Kota Surabaya exhibited superior fiscal performance, characterized by effective revenue realization and optimal budget utilization. Conversely, Kabupaten Bangkalan faced severe fiscal inefficiencies and limited revenue autonomy, highlighting significant institutional and governance deficits. These findings underscore the critical role of governance quality and institutional capacity in achieving sustainable fiscal management. This research significantly enhances the literature by providing detailed empirical insights into regional fiscal performance and proposes strategic recommendations for improved fiscal governance and policy interventions.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Wahyudi et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: