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September 5, 2025Earth s FutureOpen Access

Modeling the Effects of Aridification on Hydrologic Fluxes and Reservoir Dynamics in the U.S. Southwest

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Authors

AEAhmed ElkoukYPYadu PokhrelLLLifeng Luo

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Overview

Modeling examines hydrologic fluxes and reservoir dynamics with aridification effects, indicating severe water supply challenges.

Key Points

  • Increased evapotranspiration impacts water supply in the U.S. Southwest, highlighting the water crisis risk.
  • Model simulations show a 40% inflow deficit offset by reservoir storage, emphasizing the role of major reservoirs.
  • Data-driven optimization enhances hydrologic performance across 121 basins, improving inflow, storage, and release simulations.
  • Sensitive biases in simulated inflows and releases necessitate caution when using land models for drought risk assessments.

Cite This Study

Elkouk et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68bb3d622b87ece8dc956691https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef006372
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