From Raw Water to Pipeline Water: Correlation Analysis of Dynamic Changes in Water Quality Parameters and Microbial Community Succession

Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of water quality parameters and microbial communities in drinking water distribution systems (DWDS) and their interrelationships is critical for ensuring the safety of tap water supply. This study investigated the diurnal, monthly, and annual variation patterns of water quality and the stage-specific succession behaviors of microbial communities in a DWDS located in southeastern China. Results indicated that hydraulic shear stress during peak usage periods drove biofilm detachment and particle resuspension. This process led to significant diurnal fluctuations in total cell counts (TCC) and metal ions, with coefficients of variation ranging from 0.44 to 1.89. Monthly analyses revealed the synergistic risks of disinfection by-products (e.g., 24.5 μg/L of trichloromethane) under conditions of low chlorine residual (<0.2 mg/L) and high organic loading. Annual trends suggested seasonal coupling: winter pH reductions correlated with organic acid accumulation, while summer microbial blooms associated with chlorine decay and temperature increase. Nonlinear interactions indicated weakened metal–organic complexation but enhanced turbidity–sulfate adsorption, suggesting altered contaminant mobility in pipe scales. Microbial analysis demonstrated persistent dominance of oligotrophic Phreatobacter and prevalence of Pseudomonas in biofilms, highlighting hydrodynamic conditions, nutrient availability, and disinfection pressure as key drivers of community succession. These findings reveal DWDS complexity and inform targeted operational and microbial risk control strategies.