Mixed-methods approach identifies hotspots of water wars, suggesting proactive strategies for resource management.
Increasing climate variability and dwindling freshwater resources have intensified transboundary tensions, particularly in shared river basins. This study addresses the critical gap in understanding how climate-induced water stress exacerbates geopolitical conflicts. The primary objective is to identify and analyze global hotspots, "water wars" flashpoints, where climate change intersects with political, economic, and hydrological vulnerabilities. Using a mixed-methods approach combining geospatial mapping, conflict event datasets, and case study analysis, the study examines key river basins such as the Nile, Tigris-Euphrates, and Indus. Results likely reveal patterns where climate-driven scarcity, unequal access, and governance asymmetries heighten the risk of conflict. The study concludes that proactive diplomatic frameworks and adaptive water-sharing agreements are essential to prevent escalation. Its insights contribute to policy planning, environmental security studies, and climate adaptation strategies.
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Quadri et al. (2025) studied this question.
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