A Vicious Cycle: How Poverty Fuels Crime, Conflict, and Insecurity in Northwestern Nigeria

This research investigates the complex connections between poverty, crime, conflict, and insecurity in Northwestern Nigeria, a region grappling with a multifaceted crisis characterised by mass displacement, youth radicalisation, and diminishing state authority. By employing a mixed-methods approach that includes surveys, key informant interviews, and focus group discussions throughout Zamfara, Sokoto, Kebbi, and Katsina States, the study indicates that poverty acts as both a driver and a result of the insecurity crisis. Quantitative analysis establishes that unemployment, low income, and inadequate education are significant predictors of susceptibility to criminal activities or victimisation. Qualitative findings emphasise that economic hardship, climate-related stress, and institutional neglect contribute to cycles of violence. Based on Human Security and Structural Violence frameworks, the results highlight the necessity for integrated, pro-poor development initiatives aimed at breaking this cycle. The study concludes with policy recommendations that focus on revitalising rural areas, creating jobs, improving educational access, adapting to climate change challenges, and fostering inclusive governance. To attain lasting peace in Northwestern Nigeria, addressing the fundamental causes of poverty and rebuilding citizens' trust in their government will be essential.