Numerical global mantle convection model identifies plate velocity fluctuations and subduction initiation events.
The occurrence of tectonic plate reorganization events is evident throughout the geologic record and appears to be associated with the cessation of mature and/or initiation of new subduction. Subduction initiation that produced the bend in the Hawaii-Emperor seamount chain resulted in the most recent upheaval of plate motion and engendered dramatic changes in plate velocities. Here, applying a method for identifying plate boundaries in a numerical global mantle convection model, we calculate Euler vector time series of self-consistently generated plates over a period of approximately 144 Myr. During this period, global evolution is characterized by two dominant convergent boundaries and the number of major plates identified varies between 9 and 14. Using a 2 Myr sampling rate to track the histories of three enduring plates that share a common triple junction, we observe a major plate reorganization event occurring over approximately 6-8 Myr. The catalyst for the event is identified as the development of a deep thermal feature intrinsic to internally heated convection. A buildup of heat enveloping a mature mantle downwelling accumulates a buoyancy that resists ongoing plate motion and eventually forces the over-riding plates on a new trajectory.
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Guerrero et al. (2025) studied this question.
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