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September 5, 2025Environmental Research LettersOpen Access

Projecting U.S. coastal storm surge risks and impacts with deep learning

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Authors

JRJulian RiceKBKarthik BalaguruFRFadia Ticona Rollano

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Overview

Analysis reveals a projected 50% increase in population at risk from storm surge, suggesting urgent adaptation measures in coastal states.

Key Points

  • Storm surge poses significant hazards, with projections indicating increased risk due to elevated sea levels and tropical cyclone intensity.
  • The deep learning model effectively estimates coastal surge risk from 900,000 synthetic tropical cyclone events, showing a strong match with historical data.
  • Inundation modeling suggests that by century's end, heightened storm intensities could put an additional 50% of the population at risk in the U.S.
  • Notable risks were identified particularly in Florida, with critical thresholds for storm surge impacts in Georgia and South Carolina.

Cite This Study

Rice et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68bb5f586d6d5674bcd03951https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adfd74
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