An Explanatory Model for Organizational Resilience to Inflationary Processes and Uncertainty in the Era of Tariffs 2025

The trade tariff war is producing crisis effects in the markets, based on the information and announcements of tariffs by the US to its trading partners Mexico and Canada, with the possibility of a reciprocal tariff war, the problem is that final prices could skyrocket for all the nations involved, even in the entire value chain. and changes in supply chains, thus increasing inflation. The effect, called the Plaza Agreement 2.0, makes it possible to change investments and resilient organizational strategies, although the final intention is not to raise prices and rates, but as a starting point of advantage in negotiations, in relationships of dependency. The objective of this article is to explain from a mathematical model the capacity of resilience that has caused this turbulence in the market. The methodology used is documentary, financial and organizational research, the result obtained from the model is an optimized resilience with an average equal to 0.5985.