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September 10, 2025Earth and Space ScienceOpen Access

Global Hotspots for Sea‐Level Changes: Decadal Extremes and Uncertainties From CMIP6 Models

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Observational analysis highlighted disparities in sea-level change in global regions, suggesting model improvements are needed.

Sea-level change varies from −10.0 to 6.52 mm/yr, indicating significant regional differences and extremes.
Five regions exhibit rapid sea-level increase rates over twice the average, constituting 26% of the analyzed area.
CMIP6 models, particularly earth system models, systematically underestimate sea-level change compared to tide gauge data.
Findings underline the necessity for enhanced model development to improve accuracy in extreme sea-level simulations.

Ajjur et al. (2025) studied this question.

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