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September 10, 2025WaterOpen Access

Transboundary Water–Energy–Food Nexus Management in Major Rivers of the Aral Sea Basin Through System Dynamics Modelling

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Authors

SPSergio E. PerezIRIván Ramos‐DiezRLRaquel López‐Fernández

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Overview

System dynamics model evaluates water-energy-food nexus in Central Asia, highlighting transboundary coordination's significance.

Key Points

  • The system dynamics model (SDM) demonstrated successful calibration with a mean absolute error of under 5% for water discharge to the Aral Sea.
  • Incorporating over 500 variables, this model reveals complex interdependencies within the water-energy-food nexus across the Aral Sea Basin.
  • Analysis emphasizes the critical role of climate and socio-economic factors through Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways.
  • Findings indicate significant human-driven variability in inflows to the Aral Sea, necessitating enhanced transboundary collaboration for resilience.

Cite This Study

Perez et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c19f7f54b1d3bfb60daab1https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152270
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Contrasting Hydropower Development Strategies in Central Asia’s Water–Energy–Food Nexus Through Spatially Explicit System Dynamics Modelling2026
  2. 2Consideration of the Environment in Water-Energy-Food Nexus Research in the Aral Sea Basin2024 · 19 citations
  3. 3Quantifying the feedbacks between climate change and the WEFE nexus in the transboundary Syr Darya basin2024 · 1 citations
  4. 4Modelling the availability of water, energy, and food resources in transboundary river basins to achieve Sustainable Development Goals 2, 6, and 72024 · 5 citations
  5. 5Correction: Pérez Pérez et al. Transboundary Water–Energy–Food Nexus Management in Major Rivers of the Aral Sea Basin Through System Dynamics Modelling. Water 2025, 17, 22702025