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We assess ground surface deformation from thrust and reverse fault earthquakes, suggesting enhancements to rupture predictions with geomechanical models.
We investigate the influence of earthquake source characteristics and geological site parameters on fault scarp morphologies for thrust and reverse fault earthquakes using geomechanical models. A total of 3434 distinct element method (DEM) model experiments were performed to evaluate the impact of the sediment depth, density, homogeneous and heterogeneous sediment strengths, fault dip, and the thickness of unruptured sediment above the fault tip on the resultant coseismic ground surface deformation for a thrust or reverse fault earthquake. A machine learning model based on computer vision (CV) was applied to obtain measurements of ground surface deformation characteristics (scarp height, uplift, deformation zone width, and scarp dip) from a total of 346,834 DEM model stages taken every 0.05 m of slip. The DEM dataset exhibits a broad range of scarp behaviors, generating monoclinal, pressure ridge, and simple scarps—each of which can be modified by hanging wall collapse. The parameters that had the most influence on surface rupture patterns are fault displacement, fault dip, sediment depth, and sediment strength. The DEM results comprehensively describe the range of historic surface rupture observations in the Fault Displacement Hazards Initiative (FDHI) dataset with improved relationships obtained by incorporating additional information about the earthquake size, fault geometry, and surface deformation style. We suggest that this DEM dataset can be used to supplement field data and help forecast patterns of ground surface deformation in future earthquakes given specific anticipated source and site characteristics.
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Chiama et al. (2025) studied this question.
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