Enabling Early Prediction of Side Effects of Novel Lead Hypertension Drug Molecules Using Machine Learning

Background: Hypertension is a serious global health issue affecting over one billion adults and leading to severe complications if left unmanaged. Despite medical advancements, only a fraction of patients effectively have their hypertension under control. Among the factors that hinder adherence to hypertensive drugs are the debilitating side effects of the drugs. The lack of adherence results in poorer patient outcomes as patients opt to live with their condition, instead of having to deal with the side effects. Hence, there is a need to discover new hypertension drug molecules with better side effects to increase patient treatment options. To this end, computational methods such as artificial intelligence (AI) have become an exciting option for modern drug discovery. AI-based computational drug discovery methods generate numerous new lead antihypertensive drug molecules. However, predicting their potential side effects remains a significant challenge because of the complexity of biological interactions and limited data on these molecules. Methods: This paper presents a machine learning approach to predict the potential side effects of computationally synthesised antihypertensive drug molecules based on their molecular properties, particularly functional groups. We curated a dataset combining information from the SIDER 4.1 and ChEMBL databases, enriched with molecular descriptors (logP, PSA, HBD, HBA) using RDKit. Results: Gradient Boosting gave the most stable generalisation, with a weighted F1 of 0.80, and AUC-ROC of 0.62 on the independent test set. SHAP analysis over the cross-validation folds showed polar surface area and logP contributing the largest global impact, followed by hydrogen bond counts. Conclusions: Functional group patterns, augmented with key ADMET descriptors, offer a first-pass screen for identifying side-effect risks in AI-designed antihypertensive leads.