Temporal Dynamics Of Cocoa Growing In Mocajuba, Eastern Amazonia: Environmental And Socioeconomic Implications.

Brazil is the world’s seventh largest cocoa producer. This study analyzes the dynamics and socio-economic and environmental relevance of cocoa farming in Mocajuba, using time series and econometric models. Vector error correction (VEC) and autoregressive (VAR) models were applied to assess the impacts of cocoa production. The results indicate that cocoa farming does not contribute to deforestation and has a positive impact on local GDP. Although the VEC model suggests that forest reduction in the past may have influenced cocoa production, the 10-year VAR model indicates no effect on forest cover. The positive correlation between cocoa production, production value and GDP reinforces this relationship. The study confirms the importance of cocoa farming as a driver of economic development in Mocajuba, highlighting its sustainable and relevant role for the local economy.