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September 10, 2025Earth s FutureOpen Access

A Tale of Two Unprecedented Droughts in Southeast Asia: Physical Drivers and Impending Future Risks

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Authors

SMShuping MaXPXiao PengXLXinyue Liu

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Overview

Analysis identifies dynamic and thermodynamic drivers of 2014 drought in Southeast Asia, suggesting increased risks under climate change.

Key Points

  • The 2014 drought in Southeast Asia was primarily driven by dynamic atmospheric processes rather than El Niño.
  • Moisture budget analysis revealed significant precipitation deficits linked to mid-troposphere divergence and reduced marine moisture inflow.
  • Future projections indicate a 25-43% increase in drought likelihood by mid-century due to climate change effects.
  • Inconsistencies among climate models highlight the challenges in accurately assessing drought risk attribution.

Cite This Study

Ma et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c1bb7854b1d3bfb60edc50https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef005971
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Physical Drivers and Future Risks of the 2014-like Southeast Asia Drought2024
  2. 2Quantifying causal teleconnections to drought and fire risks in Indonesian Borneo2024 · 1 citations
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  4. 4Quantifying the internal and external drivers of Southeast Asian rainfall extremes on decadal timescales2024 · 4 citations
  5. 5Spatiotemporal analysis of tropical vegetation ecosystems and their responses to multifaceted droughts in Mainland Southeast Asia using satellite-based time series2024 · 17 citations