Sustainable development of socio-ecological-economic systems in the agrarian sector of the North Kazakhstan region

Currently, factors such as climate change, population growth (with low birth rates in certain areas), reduction in irrigated land area, degradation of agricultural lands including pastures, shortage of drinking water for consumption, and underdevelopment of social infrastructure affect the sustainable development of the region. The goal is to analyze economic, social, and environmental indicators in the North Kazakhstan region and identify ways to optimize the agrarian sector and its resource potential. This region was chosen as the object of scientific research due to the recent mass migration of rural residents to urban areas, resulting in depopulating villages, closure of schools, hospitals, and other social facilities, and a negative migration balance. Methods used include the calculative-constructive method to determine gross regional product and agricultural GDP, and foreign trade turnover per capita; and the economic-statistical method to analyze socioeconomic indicators of sectoral activity. The research results indicated that the implementation of the relocation program from the South to the North of the country has not yet produced positive outcomes, as many settlers cannot endure the northern living conditions. Effective measures are required to improve the social arrangement of rural areas in the context of accelerating innovative modernization of the agrarian sector, effective government support, promotion of innovation, utilization of ideas, technologies and partnerships to expand investment, and creation of an environment that supports startups, investors, research institutes, and environmental protection. Conclusions. The goal and objectives of the economic growth concept are, above all, to reduce destabilizing influences: increasing employment among the rural population, improving education and professional skills, increasing income, improving the functioning of engineering infrastructure, and the rational use of land and water resources to overcome the lag of rural settlements behind urban advantages in quality of life, ensuring equal access to basic budgetary services and social guarantees.