Applicability of Visible–Near-Infrared Spectroscopy to Predicting Water Retention in Japanese Forest Soils

This study assessed the applicability of visible–near-infrared (vis-NIR) spectroscopy to predicting the water retention characteristics of forest soils in Japan, which vary widely owing to the presence of volcanic ash. Soil samples were collected from 34 sites, and the volumetric water content was measured at eight levels of matric suction. Spectral data were processed by using the second derivative of the absorbance, and regression models were developed by using explainable boosting machine (EBM), which is an interpretable machine learning method. Although the prediction accuracy was limited owing to the small sample size and soil heterogeneity, EBM performed better under saturated conditions (R2 = 0.30), which suggests that vis-NIR spectroscopy can capture water-related features, especially under wet conditions. Importance analysis consistently selected wavelengths that were associated with organic matter and hydrated clay minerals. The important wavelengths clearly shifted from free-water bands in wet soils to mineral-related absorption bands in dry soils. These findings highlight the potential of coupling vis-NIR spectroscopy with interpretable models like EBM for estimating the hydraulic properties of forest soils. Improved accuracy is expected with larger datasets and stratified models by soil type, which can facilitate more efficient soil monitoring in forests.