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September 10, 2025Open Access

Identification of discrete updrafts within quasi-linear convective systems using gridded radar data and potential implications for tornadogenesis prediction

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About 62% of tornadoes are preceded by identifiable discrete radar reflectivity cores at mid-levels.
0-6 km and 3-6 km shear are strong predictors of which tornadoes are linked to discrete updrafts.
Discrete updrafts indicate potential areas for tornadogenesis within linear convective systems.
Strong mid-level shear is hypothesized to support deep updraft growth linked to tornadic strength.

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This analysis reveals how discrete updrafts improve tornadogenesis predictions in quasi-linear systems, highlighting the role of radar data.

Wolff et al. (2025) studied this question.

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This analysis reveals how discrete updrafts improve tornadogenesis predictions in quasi-linear systems, highlighting the role of radar data.