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September 14, 2025

Progress towards HIV transmission elimination targets: model-based estimation of incidence and the extent of undiagnosed infection, Scotland, 1981 to 2022.

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Scotland reported 8,235 HIV transmission events from 1981 to 2022, indicating a significant public health issue.
Between 2010 and 2021, incidences dropped by 80%, showing successful public health interventions.
Among 4,854 people living with HIV by the end of 2021, about 8.2% were undiagnosed, particularly higher in specific at-risk groups.
Meeting the United Nations' target of 95% diagnosis by 2025 will require enhanced testing and access to prevention services.

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Implication

Model-based analysis estimates 8,235 HIV transmission events in Scotland, revealing undiagnosed cases. Findings suggest expanded testing is essential among at-risk groups.

Cite This Study

McDonald et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c6df6de03a6c7bdc170fd4 https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2025.30.36.2500164

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Implication

Model-based analysis estimates 8,235 HIV transmission events in Scotland, revealing undiagnosed cases. Findings suggest expanded testing is essential among at-risk groups.

Progress towards HIV transmission elimination targets: model-based estimation of incidence and the extent of undiagnosed infection, Scotland, 1981 to 2022.

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Implication

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Progress towards HIV transmission elimination targets: model-based estimation of incidence and the extent of undiagnosed infection, Scotland, 1981 to 2022.

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

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