Evaluation of Water Resource Carrying Capacity in Taizhou City, Southeast China

Water resource carrying capacity is a key measure of sustainability, commonly employed to evaluate how well water resources can sustain economic and social growth. With China’s rapid economic growth and modernization, water resources in certain regions are now being used at or beyond their sustainable threshold. This study evaluates the present state of water resource carrying capacity in Taizhou City, located in southeastern China. Using relevant data from 2012 to 2022 on society, economy, water resources, and ecology, the weights of the evaluation indicators were determined using both the entropy weight method and principal component analysis. Subsequently, a comprehensive evaluation model for water resource carrying capacity was developed by applying the TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) method. The comprehensive proximity index for water resource carrying capacity in Taizhou City averaged 0.4864 between 2012 and 2022, indicating a moderate level overall but exhibiting a declining trend, suggesting an approaching threshold of utilization limits. The range was between 0.3461 and 0.7143. In 2017, the comprehensive proximity index was 0.3461 (low water resource carrying capacity level, with water resources already suffering damage and various subsystems developing uncoordinatedly). However, the comprehensive proximity index for water resource carrying capacity improved significantly from 2018 to 2022. A combination of rising industrial water demand and a decrease in both the absolute volume and proportional allocation of water for ecological purposes drove the overall decline in the progress rate in 2017. Taizhou City has formulated strict water resource management policies and measures, resulting in a decrease in indicators such as industrial water consumption, residential water consumption, and industrial wastewater discharge, as well as an increase in indicators such as ecological water consumption and ecological water utilization rate. As a result, the comprehensive water resource carrying capacity saw a notable rise during 2018–2019. The study results provide a reference for the rational use of water resources in Taizhou City and are of certain significance for promoting the coordinated economic and social development of Taizhou City.