Representing Small Shallow Water Estuary Hydrodynamics to Uncover Litter Transport Patterns

Plastic pollution is an increasing global concern, with estuaries being especially vulnerable as transition zones between freshwater and marine systems. These ecosystems often accumulate large amounts of waste, affecting wildlife and water quality. This study focuses on analysing the circulation patterns of the Ave Estuary, a small, shallow system on Portugal’s north-western coast, and their influence on litter transport and distribution. This site was selected for installing an aquatic litter removal technology under the EU-funded MAELSTROM project. A 2DH hydrodynamic model using Delft3D FM, coupled with the Wflow hydrological model, was implemented and validated. Various scenarios were simulated to assess estuarine dynamics and pinpoint zones prone to litter accumulation and flood risk. The results show that tidal action and river discharge mainly drive the estuary’s behaviour. Under low discharge, floating litter should be mostly transported toward the ocean, while high discharge conditions should result in litter movement at all depths due to stronger currents. High water levels and flooding occur mainly upstream and in specific low-lying areas near the mouth. Low-velocity zones, which can favour litter accumulation, were found around the main channel and on the western margin near the estuary’s mouth, even during high flows. These findings highlight persistent accumulation zones, even under extreme event conditions.