This analysis shows low fertility intentions among women in Tianjin despite adherence to Confucian familism, suggesting policy implications.
Key Points
Fertility intentions remain low despite acceptance of Confucian ideals promoting childbearing, and little change in fertility rates is observed.
Instrumental variable analysis reveals that stronger adherence to Confucian familism does not predict higher fertility intentions among women.
Data from the Tianjin Citizen Fertility Willingness Survey highlights a mismatch between cultural values and reproductive choices in an ultracompetitive society.
Policy implications indicate that changes in incentives alone may not address the deeper societal factors affecting family planning.