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October 8, 2025

Can China's two-child policy reverse fertility decline? An in-depth analysis of fertility behavior and desires.

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Authors

XHXuehao HuangBeijing Normal University

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Implication

Analysis uncovers limited effects on birth rates in families, suggesting complexity in policy impact.

Key Points

  • The universal two-child policy has not significantly increased birth rates in China, raising concerns over its efficacy.
  • Results from Difference-in-Differences analysis indicate a reduction in the desired number of children per family.
  • This study employs both Difference-in-Differences and Propensity Score Matching-Difference-in-Differences methods to assess policy impact.
  • The findings highlight the complex interplay of economic, social, and cultural factors affecting fertility desires and behaviors.

Cite This Study

Xuehao Huang (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e6d7971ffa7aa7d63d1671https://doi.org/10.29063/ajrh2025/v29i9.8
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Shrinking China: Policy, Social Changes, and Fertility Decline2026 · 4 citations
  2. 2Effect evaluation, prediction and response strategy analysis of China’s birth policy adjustment2025 · 3 citations
  3. 3The effect of gradually lifting the two-child policy on demographic changes in China2024 · 20 citations
  4. 4High Confucian Familism Adherence but Low Fertility Intentions: Evidence From the Lowest Fertility Rate City in China2025
  5. 5How to Evaluate the Effect of Two-Child Effect on Fertility2024