This research reveals short-term performance prediction using player tracking data in Rugby Union, suggesting improved accuracy.
This research addresses short-term performance prediction in Rugby Union using player tracking data. Rugby's unique characteristics as a conquest sport with strict offside rules make the ball position a crucial performance indicator. We used event data to identify ball carriers in offensive phase and considered their locations as proxy for the ball. We then aim to predict this performance indicator. We formulated this challenge as a time series prediction problem where player positions (multivariate) predict performance (univariate). Our results suggest using player tracking data improves the prediction ability.
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Odet et al. (2025) studied this question.
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