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September 21, 2025Transportation Safety and Environment6 citationsOpen Access

Critical Node Identification and Risk Assessment of Port Typhoon Disaster Chains Based on Complex Networks

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HLHoujun LuYLYanlong LiJYJuntao Yang

Key Points

  • Typhoons initiate cascading disasters, disrupting operations and causing significant losses.
  • High-risk nodes include operational disruptions, shipping suspension, and terminal facility damages.
  • A risk assessment model integrates vulnerability parameters to evaluate disaster chains effectively.
  • Mitigation strategies focus on key nodes to enhance port disaster resilience and minimize impacts.

Abstract

Abstract To investigate the significant impact of frequent typhoons and their cascading effects on port operations, this study constructs a port typhoon disaster evolution network model using complex network theory and the disaster chain evolution mechanism. Incorporating both the individual risk level of nodes and the overall risk level of the disaster evolution system, a risk matrix approach is introduced to quantitatively classify disaster node risks. The PageRank algorithm is employed to determine the importance weight of nodes, providing a comprehensive assessment of their risk significance. Furthermore, a risk assessment model for port typhoon disaster chains is developed by integrating the vulnerability parameters of connecting edges. The findings indicate that typhoons serve as the primary initiators of cascading disasters, with operational disruptions, shipping suspension, and terminal facility damages identified as high-risk nodes. Supply chain disruptions due to transport delays constitute the core risk chain affecting port operations. Accordingly, this study proposes mitigation strategies targeting key nodes and scientifically evaluates their effectiveness, with the aim of enhancing port disaster resilience and minimizing the adverse impacts and losses resulting from typhoon events.

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Cite This Study

Lu et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68d46cb831b076d99fa686adhttps://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdaf055
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