Integrated analysis reveals significant surface deformation in the Central Yunnan Water Diversion Project, indicating critical geohazard risks.
The Central Yunnan Water Diversion Project (CYWDP) is currently under construction and represents China’s most extensive and geologically challenging water transfer infrastructure, facing significant geohazard risks induced by intensive engineering activities, posing severe threats to its entire lifecycle safety. Therefore, monitoring and spatiotemporal evolution analysis of surface deformation along the CYWDP is critically important. This study presents the first integrated analysis of geometric distortions and multi-dimensional spatiotemporal deformation characteristics along the CYWDP, utilizing both ascending and descending orbit data from Sentinel-1. First, by integrating the Layover-Shadow Mask (LSM) model and R-Index method, we identified geometric distortion types in SAR imagery and evaluated their suitability for deformation monitoring. Subsequently, SBAS-InSAR technology was employed to derive line-of-sight (LOS) deformation information from 124 images (ascending) and 90 images (descending) acquisitions (2022–2024), enabling the identification of significant deformation zones and analyzing their spatial distribution characteristics. Finally, two-dimensional (2D) deformation fields were obtained through the joint inversion of ascending and descending orbit data in typical deformation zones. The results reveal that geometric distortions in Sentinel-1 imagery along the CYWDP are dominated by foreshortening effects, accounting for 35.3% of the study area in the ascending-orbit data and 37.9% in the descending-orbit data. A total of 10 significant deformation-prone areas were detected, and the most pronounced subsidence, amounting to −164 mm/y, was observed in the northern Jinning District (Luoci-Qujiang section), showing expansion trends toward water conveyance infrastructure. This study reveals surface deformation’s multi-dimensional spatiotemporal evolution patterns along the CYWDP. The findings support geohazard mitigation and provide a methodological reference for safety monitoring of major water conservancy projects in complex geological environments.
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Gu et al. (2025) studied this question.
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