A Joint Transformer–XGBoost Model for Satellite Fire Detection in Yunnan

Wildfires pose a regularly increasing threat to ecosystems and critical infrastructure. The severity of this threat is steadily increasing. The growing threat necessitates the development of technologies for rapid and accurate early detection. However, the prevailing fire point detection algorithms, including several deep learning models, are generally constrained by the inherent hard threshold limitations in their decision-making logic. As a result, these methods lack adaptability and robustness in complex and dynamic real-world scenarios. To address this challenge, the present paper proposes an innovative two-stage, semi-supervised anomaly detection framework. The framework initially employs a Transformer-based autoencoder, which serves to transform raw fire-free time-series data derived from satellite imagery into a multidimensional deep anomaly feature vector. Self-supervised learning achieves this transformation by incorporating both reconstruction error and latent space distance. In the subsequent stage, a semi-supervised XGBoost classifier, trained using an iterative pseudo-labeling strategy, learns and constructs an adaptive nonlinear decision boundary in this high-dimensional anomaly feature space to achieve the final fire point judgment. In a thorough validation process involving multiple real-world fire cases in Yunnan Province, China, the framework attained an F1 score of 0.88, signifying a performance enhancement exceeding 30% in comparison to conventional deep learning baseline models that employ fixed thresholds. The experimental results demonstrate that by decoupling feature learning from classification decision-making and introducing an adaptive decision mechanism, this framework provides a more robust and scalable new paradigm for constructing next-generation high-precision, high-efficiency wildfire monitoring and early warning systems.