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This is a Quantitative Study study.

Forecasting of Average Air Temperature in the City of Pekanbaru Using the Holt-Winters Method

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This analysis forecasts average air temperature trends in Pekanbaru, using the Holt-Winters method, emphasizing seasonal changes.

The forecast predicts a gradual decrease in average air temperature in Pekanbaru for 2025.
The best forecasting model achieved a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 2.684, indicating accuracy.
The data for analysis includes monthly average air temperature from 2017 to 2024, sourced from BMKG.
The predictive model aims to assist in climate change mitigation planning for the Pekanbaru area.

Yendra et al. (2025) studied this question.

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