BindPred predicts protein-protein binding affinities using language model embeddings and gradient boosting trees, achieving high correlation rates.
Reliable predictions of protein-protein binding affinities are essential for molecular biology and therapeutic discovery. However, most computational methods rely on three-dimensional structural models, which are often unavailable for many complexes. We introduce BindPred, a structure-agnostic input framework that predicts affinities directly from amino acid sequences by combining embeddings from large protein language models with gradient boosting trees. On the PPB-Affinity benchmark, which comprises 11,919 diverse complexes, BindPred achieves a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.86 in random split five-fold cross-validation, where the training and test sets share <30% global sequence identity. Ablation analysis indicates that evolutionary embeddings alone capture most of the predictive signals, while augmenting with physics-based energy terms from PyRosetta and BindCraft increases the correlation by only 0.01. A more stringent protein-level split that places entire protein families (wild-type and all mutants) exclusively in either training or testing sets, results in only a modest decline in performance, demonstrating robust generalization to novel interaction pairs. Because BindPred operates exclusively on sequence input, it enables rapid inference (approximately 3 million complexes per GPU (T4) hour), making proteome-scale screening computationally feasible.
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Piao et al. (2025) studied this question.
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