On the Spatial Distribution of Eagle Carcasses Around Wind Turbines: Implications for Collision Mortality Estimation

With worldwide development of wind energy, birds have grown increasingly vulnerable to collisions with wind turbines. For several species of eagles, which in many countries are accorded special protection due to a host of anthropogenic threats, accurate estimates of collision mortality are needed to assess impacts and to formulate appropriate mitigation strategies. Unfortunately, estimates of wind turbine collision mortality are often biased low by failing to account for carcasses that fall beyond the fatality search area boundary, B. In some instances, carcass density is modeled across the fatality search area to adjust for these undetected fatalities. Yet for more accurate fatality estimates, it is important to determine B^, the search area boundary within which all carcasses could be found. We used eagle carcass data from multi-year fatality studies conducted at the Island of Smøla, Norway, and the Altamont Pass Wind Resource Area, California, USA, to assess carcass density (i) as a contributor to mortality estimation (ii) as a predictor variable of B, and (iii) to test whether the cumulative carcass counts with increasing distance from the wind turbine can predict B^. We found that carcass counts within 5 m annuli change little with increasing distance from modern wind turbines, and that carcass density is largely a function of the area calculated. Characterization of the spatial distribution of carcasses within the search area varies with the search radius that determines B. However, this may not represent the true spatial distribution of carcasses, including those found beyond B. We assert that the available data are unsuitable for predicting the number of eagle carcasses within and beyond a given search area, nor for determining B^, but they do indicate that B^ lies much farther from wind turbines than previously assumed. Ultimately, modeling available carcass distribution data cannot replace the need for searching farther from wind turbines to account for the true number of eagle collision victims at any given wind project.