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October 2, 2025Open Access

Polarisation of adolescent offending trajectories during the youth crime decline: A multi-cohort analysis of justice-involved adolescents in Australia

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Authors

MMMolly McCarthyGriffith UniversitySSStephane M. ShepherdThe University of SydneyTATroy AllardGriffith University

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Overview

Multi-cohort analysis reveals shifts in youth offending patterns, indicating increased chronic offending in adolescents.

Key Points

  • The number of adolescents with proven offences decreased by 44% in Australia over recent years.
  • Recent cohorts of justice-involved adolescents showed significant increases in violent and high-frequency offending.
  • Latent class growth analysis identified diverse offending trajectories within these adolescents in Queensland.
  • Recent trends highlight a concerning rise in moderate and chronic offending among youth in justice systems.

Cite This Study

McCarthy et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68de79685b556a9128e1aa99https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/cu6gw_v1
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Criminal justice transitions among adolescents in Australia: A multi-state model2024 · 4 citations
  2. 2Trajectories of offending: An administrative data linkage study in England and Wales2026
  3. 3Trajectories of offending over 9 years after youths' first arrest: What predicts who desists and who continues to offend?2024 · 9 citations
  4. 4Offending Trajectories in an Australian Birth Cohort: Differences and Similarities Across Sex2024 · 6 citations
  5. 5Examining the role of police-led diversion in the youth crime decline in Australia: a macro-level longitudinal analysis2025