Identification of an immune-related genes signature in lung adenocarcinoma to predict survival and response to immune checkpoint inhibitors

Background Although advances in immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) research have provided a new treatment approach for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients, their survival is still unsatisfactory, and there are issues in the era of response prediction to immunotherapy. Methods Using bioinformatics methods, a prognostic signature was constructed, and its predictive ability was validated both in the internal and external datasets (GSE68465). We also explored the tumor-infiltrating immune cells, mutation profiles, and immunophenoscore (IPS) in the low-and high-risk groups. Results As far as we are aware, this is the first study which introduces a novel prognostic signature model using BIRC5, CBLC, S100P, SHC3, ANOS1, VIPR1, LGR4, PGC, and IGKV4.1. According to multivariate analysis, the 9-immune-related genes (IRGs) signature provided an independent prognostic factor for the overall survival (OS). The low-risk group had better OS, and the tumor mutation burden (TMB) was significantly lower in this group. Moreover, the risk scores were negatively associated with the tumor-infiltrating immune cells, like CD8 + T cells, macrophages, dendritic cells, and NK cells. In addition, the IPS were significantly higher in the low-risk group as they had higher gene expression of immune checkpoints, suggesting that ICIs could be a promising treatment option for low-risk LUAD patients. Conclusion The combination of these 9-IRGs not only could efficiently predict overall survival of LUAD patients but also show a powerful association with the expression of immune checkpoints and response to ICIs based on IPS; hoping this model paves the way for better stratification and management of patients in clinical practice.