Exploring the dynamics and future projections of land use land cover changes by exploiting geospatial techniques; A case study of the Kabul River Basin.

Global land cover change has caused significant environmental degradation and biodiversity loss. It affects ecosystem functions, livelihoods, and climate variation and has drawn substantial attention in recent decades. In the Kabul River Basin (KRB), there are limited studies on the historical Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) pattern, transition, intensity and future perspective. Therefore, this study aims to investigate long-term LULC changes and major drivers of LULC in the KRB over the past thirty years (1990-2020) and then to project the future LULC pattern for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050. Landsat Imageries of (1990-2020) were used as input data by utilizing the Random Forest Classifier algorithm (RF) in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) to classify the LULC. The LULC was then projected for the future, using the Cellular Automata Markov Chain Model (CA-MCM). The results demonstrated drastic LULC changes, controlled primarily by urbanization and agriculture expansion, which expanded from 467 Km