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September 25, 2024BioResourcesOpen Access

Response of black pine (Pinus nigra) in southwestern Anatolia to climate change

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AAAhmet Acarer

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Overview

Species distribution modelling shows severe habitat loss for black pine under future climate warming, highlighting an urgent need for targeted adaptive forest management.

Key Points

  • Pinus nigra faces severe habitat loss in southwestern Anatolia under the SSP1 2.6 climate scenario, with range contraction by 2040 and near-total disappearance projected by 2100.
  • MaxEnt distribution models achieved validation AUC values of 0.855 for training data and 0.851 for test data, driven largely by elevation and annual precipitation patterns.
  • HadGEM3-GC31-LL climate projections reveal progressive forest fragmentation by 2060, highlighting an urgent need for adaptive management strategies to sustain regional ecosystems.

Cite This Study

Ahmet Acarer (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e5765bb6db6435875161echttps://doi.org/10.15376/biores.19.4.8594-8607
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