Guinea's foreign ties will ease pressure on junta

Significance Adverse weather and a heavy military presence in the streets may have deterred protests in a context where demonstrations are banned. Meanwhile, despite the prevailing repressive environment, the junta’s failure to meet transitional deadlines and a number of high-profile deaths and forced disappearances, Guinea’s international partners have largely avoided harsh criticisms or strong pressure on the junta. Impacts Authorities may seek to end a number of tax exemptions, including in the mining sector, to raise revenues. Fuel shortages may persist in the coming year, in part due to the time needed to build new fuel depots. A planned constitutional referendum may be delayed until next year.