Secondary inorganic aerosols (sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium; SNA) are major contributors to fine particulate matter. Predicting concentrations of these species is complicated by the cascade of processes that control their abundance, including emissions, chemistry, thermodynamic partitioning, and removal. In this study, we use 11 flight campaigns to evaluate the GEOS-Chem model performance for SNA. Across all the campaigns, the model performance is best for sulfate (R2 = 0.51, NMB = 0.11) and worst for nitrate (R2 = 0.22, NMB = 1.76), indicating substantive model deficiencies in the nitrate simulation. Thermodynamic partitioning reproduces the total particulate nitrate well (R2 = 0.79 and NMB = 0.09), but actual partitioning (i.e., εNO3= NO3-/TNO3) is challenging to assess given limited ammonia observations. Model performance is sensitive to changes in emissions and dry and wet deposition, with modest improvements associated with the inclusion of different chemical loss and production pathways (i.e., acid uptake on dust, N2O5 uptake, and NO3- photolysis). However, these sensitivity tests show only modest reduction in the nitrate bias, with no improvement to the model skill (i.e., R2) implying that more work is needed to improve the description of loss and production of nitrate and SNA as a whole.
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Norman et al. (2024) studied this question.
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