Scenario Application in Public Administration

Application of scenarios in public administration (PA) can ensure the sustainable development of the social system (system) and contribute to the necessary changes in a complex and dynamic environment.Under influence of any, including undesirable scenario, thinking of civil society can be controlled by manipulating its conscious and unconscious.In these conditions, PА can be complicated and reduce efficiency.Moreover, the archetype-based scenario becomes attractive and engages the scenario participants in a game offered by the scenario manager to achieve a certain goal.PA should manage thinking properly according to a state of the system and the environment to maintain equilibrium between them and achieve a desired goal.Application of scenarios in PA can provide conditions to manage thinking.A scenario creates an environment in which archetypes start working.Scenario events can generate a certain combination of conscious and unconscious in thinking to make right decisions, A virtual or actual scenario can be used to accelerate a required change and also to influence competitors.Under influence of a virtual scenario PA can become complicated because the system can start working wrong due to difficultly to recognize reality.To conduct PA effectively under scenario influence requires managing thinking through building a learning organization.It provides both negative and positive feedbacks that facilitate making necessary changes in the system and direct to achieve desired goals.It is based on proper leadership with delegation of authority, shared vision and responsibility, building favorable organizational culture and climate.The task of PA is to create conditions in which the system will be "smart" 2(2) 2024 338 to demonstrate situational awareness, collective emotional intelligence, analyze the situation and make right decisions.