Temporal asymmetry of neural representations predicts memory decisions

A stimulus can be familiar for multiple reasons. It might have been recently encountered, or is similar to recent experience, or is similar to 'typical' experience. Understanding how the brain translates these sources of similarity into memory decisions is a fundamental, but challenging goal. Here, using fMRI, we computed neural similarity between a current stimulus and events from different temporal windows in the past and future (from seconds to days). We show that trial-by-trial memory decisions (is this stimulus 'old'?) were predicted by the