Permanent pacemaker implantation is associated with an increased risk of mortality and heart failure after surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). The purpose of this study was to analyze long-term prognosis of permanent pacemaker implantation following SAVR on low-risk patients. This nationwide, population-based, observational cohort study included all patients who underwent SAVR in Sweden between 2001 and 2018 with low surgical risk, defined as logistic EuroSCORE I <10% or EuroSCORE II <4%. Patients received a permanent pacemaker implantation within 30 days after SAVR. Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalization, and endocarditis. Regression standardization addressed confounding. We included 19,576 patients with low surgical risk. Of these, 732 (3.7%) patients received a permanent pacemaker within 30 days after SAVR. The mean age was 68 years and 33% were women. We found no difference in all-cause mortality between patients who received a pacemaker compared to those who did not (absolute survival difference at 17 years: 0.1% (95% CI: −3.6% to 3.8%). After 17 years, the estimated cumulative incidence of heart failure in patients who received a pacemaker was 28% (95% CI: 24%–33%) vs 20% (95% CI: 19%–22%) in patients who did not (absolute difference 8.2% [95% CI: 3.8%–13%]). We found no difference in endocarditis between the groups. We found an increased incidence of heart failure in patients with low surgical risk who received a permanent pacemaker after SAVR. Permanent pacemaker implantation was not associated with all-cause mortality or endocarditis. Efforts should be made to avoid the need for permanent pacemaker following SAVR.
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