Analyzing Volcanic, Tectonic, and Environmental Influences on the Seismic Velocity from 25 Years of Data at Mount St. Helens

Abstract We estimate changes in the seismic velocity (dv/v) from 25 years of ambient seismic noise recorded at Mount St. Helens (MSH). At MSH, the availability of seismic stations changes frequently due to station failure and the installation of new stations. Therefore, it is difficult to combine relative measurements that do not span the same time and space. We tackle this challenge by developing a spatial imaging algorithm to normalize all ∼1400 dv/v time series onto one spatial grid. Thereby, we obtain time-dependent velocity change maps of the MSH region, which we analyze with the help of auxiliary observations, such as ground position (i.e., Global Navigation Satellite System GNSS), weather data, environmental observations, and regional seismicity. In the dv/v time series, we find a variety of dynamics caused by volcanic, tectonic, and environmental forcing. With the initiation of MSH’s 2004–2008 volcanic crisis, dv/v exhibits a significant increase, which we link to the deflation of the volcanic plumbing system, also observed on GNSS data. Between 2013 and 2018, when seismicity levels are elevated, we find lower velocities at depth. This phase is followed by an episode of relative quiescence, accompanied by significant dv/v increases close to the St. Helens seismic zone. We suggest a reinflation of the magmatic plumbing system after MSH’s 2004–2008 eruption lasting until about 2017. Afterward, the magmatic activity in the subsurface reduces, thereby decreasing pressure and increasing the seismic velocity. Fluctuating groundwater levels may dominate the seasonal cycles in the dv/v time series. A contrasting seasonal response between the high-elevation edifice and foothill valleys may indicate that surface freezing inhibits subsurface groundwater infiltration at higher altitudes.