In this short contribution, we explore the prior dependence of the recent DESI results, according to which a Bayesian comparison of ΛCDM with w₀wₐCDM cosmologies favors dynamical dark energy. It is a simple exercise to show that extending the prior lower bound of the dark energy parameters tilts the preference in favor of ΛCDM. Adopting the PantheonPlus supernovae catalog, for instance, a shift of the lower bound for w₀,wₐ from $-3$ to beyond $-4.6$ and $-5$, respectively, is sufficient to favor ΛCDM. This calls for caution when interpreting DESI results in the Bayesian context.
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Patel et al. (2024) studied this question.
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