Methodology for assessing the likelihood of completing a given task by an unmanned aerial vehicle

The article discusses a method for assessing the likelihood of a combat mission being accomplished by an un-manned aerial vehicle in conditions of countermeasure from attacked object. Countermeasures should be used when there is a threat of UAV intrusion into the territory of a protected facility or a direct attack on a guarded facility. The countermeasures process is divided into two main stages: detection (recognition, classification) of an attacking UAV and the effective countermeasure usage. When assessing the effectiveness of a countermeasures system, models are used: a UAV, a protected object, and the process of performing a combat mission by an unmanned aerial vehicle.