Enhancing quality 4.0 and reducing costs in lot-release process with machine learning-based complaint prediction

Purpose This study proposes a machine learning framework to predict customer complaints from production line tests in an automotive company's lot-release process, enhancing Quality 4.0. It aims to design and implement the framework, compare different machine learning (ML) models and evaluate a non-sampling threshold-moving approach for adjusting prediction capabilities based on product requirements. Design/methodology/approach This study applies the Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) and four ML models to predict customer complaints from automotive production tests. It employs cost-sensitive and threshold-moving techniques to address data imbalance, with the F1-Score and Matthews correlation coefficient assessing model performance. Findings The framework effectively predicts customer complaint-related tests. XGBoost outperformed the other models with an F1-Score of 72.4% and a Matthews correlation coefficient of 75%. It improves the lot-release process and cost efficiency over heuristic methods. Practical implications The framework has been tested on real-world data and shows promising results in improving lot-release decisions and reducing complaints and costs. It enables companies to adjust predictive models by changing only the threshold, eliminating the need for retraining. Originality/value To the best of our knowledge, there is limited literature on using ML to predict customer complaints for the lot-release process in an automotive company. Our proposed framework integrates ML with a non-sampling approach, demonstrating its effectiveness in predicting complaints and reducing costs, fostering Quality 4.0.