June 17, 2024Acta PsychologicaOpen Access

Probability overestimation induced by icon arrays

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Probability overestimation occurs in an additive manner when icon arrays feature randomly arranged icons and depict severe outcomes, biasing decision making under risk.
Assessment across two experimental studies with N = 1171 participants demonstrates that icon layout and outcome severity jointly induce a robust perceptual bias.
Highlights the necessity of optimizing visual display configurations in risk communication, ensuring that icon arrays do not distort perceived likelihoods during critical choices.

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Implication

Experimental evaluation reveals additive probability overestimation from random icon arrangements and severe outcomes in 1,171 individuals, highlighting visual biases in risk communication.

Cite This Study

Nagaya et al. (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e64768b6db6435875d8b2a https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2024.104352

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Implication

Experimental evaluation reveals additive probability overestimation from random icon arrangements and severe outcomes in 1,171 individuals, highlighting visual biases in risk communication.

Probability overestimation induced by icon arrays

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

Probability overestimation induced by icon arrays

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

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