Impact of Medical Factors on Mortality in Patients With End-Stage Renal Disease in the West of Iran: A Prospective Study

Background and aims: End-stage renal disease (ESRD) is a pervasive global health challenge with high mortality rates. This prospective study aimed to identify medical factors influencing mortality in ESRD patients. Methods: Data from 149 ESRD patients registered at Imam Khomeini hospital in Kermanshah were analyzed. Only patients with a minimum of one-year follow-up were included. Univariate and multiple regression analyses were employed, and model evaluation utilized indicators such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity, and specificity. Results: Among 149 ESRD patients, 88 (59.1%) were male, and 37 (24.7%) experienced mortality. The average age of deceased patients was 63.59±15.74 years. Chronic glomerulonephritis was the underlying cause in 72 (48.3%) participants. Multiple regression revealed that age, diabetes, and a history of heart failure significantly correlated with mortality. ESRD patients with diabetes faced a 2.47-fold increased risk of death (95% confidence interval: 1.10 - 5.55). The model exhibited an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.70, with sensitivity and specificity of 51.35% and 75%, respectively. Conclusion: Given the chronic nature of ESRD and elevated mortality, particularly among diabetic patients, intensified monitoring efforts are crucial for the prevention and management of diabetes in this population.