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Significance Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of military targeting of civilians, including from regular drone attacks, have increased, while humanitarian needs have expanded. Impacts The ongoing conflict may affect debt-restructuring talks with Western donors and deter foreign investment. The humanitarian situation will likely worsen, while more than 2.6 million students will be kept out of education due to school closures. New offensives will aim to weaken the Fano before the rainy season, when heavily armed federal troops and drones may be less effective.
A Wed, study studied this question.