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October 9, 2025F1000ResearchOpen Access

African Continental Free Trade Area's (AfCFTA) effects on East African exports and household welfare

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Authors

AMAristide Maniriho

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Overview

Policy analysis reveals mixed effects of AfCFTA and EAC on trade and household well-being in East Africa, indicating significant implications for economic strategy.

Key Points

  • The analysis indicates a positive correlation between exports and factors like investment and political stability, emphasizing the role of these elements in trade performance.
  • Membership in the EAC showed a significant negative effect on household welfare, contrasting the overall positive but insignificant impact of AfCFTA membership.
  • This policy brief relies on a comprehensive evaluation across multiple East African countries to assess the implications of trade agreements on export outcomes and welfare indicators.
  • Prioritizing investments in domestic savings and fostering a rule-of-law environment may enhance overall economic welfare, suggesting actionable pathways for policymakers.
  • Future research necessitates a closer look at the economic dynamics within EAC and the potential of AfCFTA to truly uplift household welfare.

Cite This Study

Aristide Maniriho (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e70da790569dd607ee5d11https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.170238.1
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Also Consider

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  1. 1Early Evidence on the Ex‐Post Impact of African Continental Free Trade Area on Food and Agricultural Trade in East Africa2026
  2. 2Comparative Advantage of Trade in Food Products among the Selected East African Community Partner States: Implication for Policy Formulation2024
  3. 3Impacts of Regional Integration and Market Liberalization on Bilateral Trade Balances of Selected East African Countries: Potential Implications of the African Continental Free Trade Area2024 · 2 citations
  4. 4The Effects of Trade Openness on Economic Growth in the East African Community2026
  5. 5Revisiting the effect of the EAC customs union on intra-regional trade performance: does it only matter for exports?2024 · 1 citations