When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February, 2022, there were an estimated 245 000 Ukranians living with HIV and it was feared the fighting would lead to an increase in HIV incidence as access to treatment and case finding would be heavily affected. 2 years later, it seems that this has not come to pass. According to latest WHO figures, the Ukrainian Ministry of Health reported 9769 new HIV cases between January and October, 2023, essential HIV services has remained operational, and HIV data continues to be reported to global surveillance initiatives.
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Ed Holt (2024) studied this question.
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