potential impacts for waterrelated agricultural - (soil moisture deficit/surplus, evapotranspiration deficit) and hydrological hazards (surplus/deficit of landscape water storage/flow/recharge in streams, waterbodies and aquifers). Furthermore, compound events of meteorological and hydrological extreme events can lead to crop damage, yield quantity- and quality reduction that might not have occurred as response for the individual weather events (Lesk et al., 2022). Wet and dry spells have already altered across Europe (e.g. Fischer and Knutti, 2016; Lorenz et al., 2019), with changes of both wet- and dry spell duration and timing in northern Scandinavia (Breinl et al., 2020; Grusson and Barron, 2021), with measurable effects on runoff components for basin scale (e.g. Teutschbein et al., 2022). Understanding the response to weather events and occurrence of agrometeorological extreme events is a key step to further analyse effects of the resilience, adaptation capacity and mitigation requirements towards hydrologic characteristics at field- landscape and catchment scale (e.g. Miralles-Wilhelm et al., 2022). Though, the less explored spatial-, temporal-, and magnitudinal occurrence of and landscape buffering capacity towards agricultural droughts and floods in current- and future climate is an important knowledge gap needed to be highlighted, to evaluate the efficiency of measures to ensure sufficient water availability for agricultural production. Here we studied catchment hydrological response to weather events from bottom-up perspective (e.g.Vogel et al., 2021). We used crop yield as the impact parameter and agricultural- and hydrological drought and flood hazards as indicators and pre-occurring weather events as climatic drivers (Zscheischler et al., 2020). We aim to explore how catchment landscape characteristics can buffer against high- and low water availability to sustain crop productivity under current and future climate change? What are the differences between catchments impacts to sustain healthy water resources and yield levels? We present the water balance in four meso-scale agricultural catchments in Sweden in the hydrological model SWAT+ under current extreme events and weather data with scenarios of temperature and precipitation change in line with IPCC AR6 scenarios. Our results show the effect from existing water retention measures in landscapes to reduce hazardous events of soil moisture (drought and saturation conditions) and streamflow in relation to crop yield. We discuss the challenge of assessing agriculturally dominant landscape water balances with relevant precision for water and land resource management at mesoscale catchments
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Malmquist et al. (2024) studied this question.
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